"On-year inflation this year will far exceed the target set by the government at 7.2 percent - eight percent," Ahmad, who is also executive director of the Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (Indef), predicted here on Friday.
There are a number of dominant indicators causing an increase in the inflation this year, he said. The main factors triggering a surge in inflation include the recent increase in the price of subsidized oil fuels ahead of the Islamic fasting month and Idul Fitri during which the prices have always shot up, he said
Inflation in July on-month is also expected to be high at around 2 to 2.5 percent, he added. He noted, however, the increase in the price of rice was not significant as the Board of Logistics (Bulog) holds large stocks of the staple food.
Unfortunately , the government or Bulog has no control over supplies of non-rice foodstuff allowing traders to set the prices, he said.
"The government has no control over the supplies of other important food commodities like chili, eggs, beef, red onion, cooking oil and garlic. These commodities have been behind the increase in inflation," he said. (*/DWA)
Editor : Dewa Sudiarta Wiguna
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