Jakarta (Antara Bali) - Head of the  Fiscal Policy Agency of the finance ministry Bambang Brodjonegoro said the stability of the Indonesian bond market is hardly affected despite threat of capital flight on speculation about tapering of US central bank monetary stimulus.

"Domestic bonds held by foreign investors are still relatively stable. There has been outflows and inflows  but it is relatively stable," Bambang said here on Friday.

He said the Indonesian bond market is not that vulnerable. However, he admitted capital inflows and outflows in Asian emerging markets still depend largely in  global condition especially US financial condition.  
 
"Previously in the era of President Bush administration the capital market grew sharply. Now with the quantitative ease plan the fall looks steep but it is not as sharp as the rise," he said.

However, the interest investors have shown in Indonesian bond market could decline  and could be easily affected by turbulence still besetting advanced countries, he said.

Earlier, Asian Development Bank (ADB) described as good the prospects in local bond market in East Asia but also warned of potential disruption of the good prospect from the US monetary policy, economic slowdown in Asia and capital outflows.

"Investors  and Asian bond markets are still in a better position than they were in 1997-1998," chief of ADB office for Regional Economic Integration  Iwan Jaya Azis said.

Iwan said the challenge in Asian bond market lies in yield, which is too high  and falling value of assets that could affect corporate performance  and cause worse economic slowdown.

Based on ADB record, Indonesian bond market grew 12.4 percent in the second quarter of 2013 with value reaching US$118 billion.

The strong growth was attributed to  23.6 percent growth of corporate bonds  to US$21 billion and 10.3 percent expansion of government bonds to US$97 billion, it said in a news release.

Based on the trend, ADB estimated demand for Indonesian government bonds rose in the second quarter of 2013 that the  target of bond issues at Rp231.8 trillion net could be achieved to cover a state budget deficit of 2.4 percent of the Gross Domestic Products (GDP).

By the end of June there were US$6.8 billion worth of fund in local currencies in  bond markets in East Asia developing economies including China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore , Thailand  and  Vietnam.

In order to strengthen  and boost growth of bond markets, ADB recommended creation of adequate financing sources including foreign investment, which is better in stability than bond market and encouraging new investment including in pension funds.

Investment in insurance  and pension funds  and guarantee funds could contribute to funneling funds to the transport, energy, telecommunications  and other infrastructure sectors.  
 
ADB said  Asia needs US$8 billion funds to finance infrastructure projects in  2010 - 2020 to sustain economic growth , however, currently developing economies have lost the momentum to utilize  bond funds  to finance infrastructure projects. (*/DWA)

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Editor : Dewa Sudiarta Wiguna


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